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TRADE WARS
US-China trade battle knocks German investor confidence
by Staff Writers
Frankfurt Am Main (AFP) May 14, 2019

Confidence among German investors fell back in May, a closely-watched survey showed Tuesday, as Europe's largest economy fretted over the knock-on effects of the US-China trade conflict.

Expectations for economic performance in the coming months dropped 5.2 points compared with April, to -2.1, according to the ZEW institute's regular sounding of almost 200 analysts and financial players.

"Financial market experts continue to expect restrained economic growth for the coming six months," ZEW president Achim Wambach said in a statement.

"The latest escalation in the trade conflict between the United States and China has once again increased uncertainty about German exports, and thereby a central factor for GDP growth," he added.

While direct exchanges of trade blows across the Atlantic have so far been limited, Germany is indirectly harmed by any impact on the Chinese economy -- one of the eurozone heavyweight's biggest export customers -- from the trans-Pacific showdown.

The ZEW survey period from May 6 to May 13 covers last weekend, when US President Donald Trump announced a hike in import duties on hundreds of billions of dollars in imports from China starting next month.

Beijing has already said it would fire back with higher border taxes on $60 billion of US wares.

Brighter spots in Tuesday's investor survey came in judgements of Germany and the eurozone's present economic situation, which both gained, although views of the single currency bloc remained negative overall.

Looking ahead, economic expectations for the euro area dropped sharply, entering negative territory at -1.6.


Related Links
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'Intelligent reformer': China's Liu He seeks a trade deal
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China's top trade negotiator and Vice Premier Liu He, a Harvard-educated economist, is putting his reformer credentials to the test in months of fraught negotiations with American officials. President Xi Jinping's right-hand man on economic issues has managed months of tricky negotiations with US officials in an attempt to hammer out a pact. On his current trip, Beijing described him as the "leader in charge of the China-US comprehensive economic dialogue" - a change from his title of Xi's "spe ... read more

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